Earnings Estimates

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 9.50 -12.05 1.25
FY2/FY1 8.62 5.38 1.03
FY3/FY2 8.62 5.38 1.03

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 161.37
Price - 52 Week High: 181.73
Price - 52 Week Low: 140.83
Price Date (Latest): 11/24/17
Median Price Target: 189.25
Diff from Prev Close: 27.88
% Difference: 17.28

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

1.67

Sell

Strong Buy

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 16.02 45.46 0.35
FY1 14.75 31.12 0.47
FY2 13.79 21.67 0.64

Measures

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 9.20
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: 2.44
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 14.72
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 3.54
Yield (%): 1.51

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 11.70 12.15 11.20 11.73 4 -- 1 -3.03
Annual 12/1/18 10.94 11.20 10.40 11.02 8 4 3 -1.94
Annual 12/1/17 10.07 10.16 9.97 10.09 9 5 3 0.06
Quarterly 12/1/17 2.65 2.73 2.54 2.66 8 3 4 -0.33
Quarterly 3/1/18 2.60 2.67 2.48 2.60 7 1 3 -0.94
Quarterly 6/1/18 2.78 2.90 2.60 2.80 7 1 3 -1.09
Quarterly 9/1/18 2.65 2.74 2.51 2.69 7 3 2 -0.41
Long Term Growth 15.00 15.00 15.00 15.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 9.20 9.14 0.62
Annual 12/1/15 8.10 8.05 0.62
Annual 12/1/14 7.14 6.96 2.65
Quarterly 9/1/17 2.45 2.42 1.19
Quarterly 6/1/17 2.60 2.55 1.96
Quarterly 3/1/17 2.39 2.36 1.46
Quarterly 12/1/16 2.47 2.41 2.31

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 45.10
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/18 59.94 59.94 59.94 59.94 1 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 53.53 54.66 52.40 53.53 2 -- 1 --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 45.10 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 41.55 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 38.00 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/17 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.54
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 3.99 4.11 3.86 3.99 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 3.73 4.72 3.12 3.36 3 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/17 3.26 3.93 2.92 2.94 3 1 -- 2.55
Quarterly 12/1/17 1.03 1.26 0.79 1.03 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.86 0.88 0.84 0.86 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.95 1.05 0.84 0.95 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.05 1.26 0.84 1.05 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 2.54 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 2.20 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 1.85 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 0.71 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 0.71 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 0.71 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 0.71 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 854.20
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 1,035.71 1,074.04 1,020.00 1,024.40 4 -- 2 -5.74
Annual 12/1/18 992.74 1,016.00 945.00 1,002.65 8 1 7 1.98
Annual 12/1/17 930.62 955.00 916.00 928.10 6 2 3 0.07
Quarterly 12/1/17 241.98 248.00 232.00 242.50 8 3 4 -1.06
Quarterly 3/1/18 236.18 243.28 226.00 235.15 6 -- 3 -3.03
Quarterly 6/1/18 251.14 259.80 236.00 253.07 6 -- 3 -3.02
Quarterly 9/1/18 243.17 249.50 232.00 244.26 6 2 2 -0.55

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 854.20 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 764.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 684.70 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 224.10 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 238.30 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 222.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 227.70 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 939.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 1,149.02 1,174.03 1,124.00 1,149.02 2 -- 2 -0.04
Annual 12/1/18 1,079.94 1,122.10 1,003.30 1,088.30 5 1 4 -0.73
Annual 12/1/17 1,017.10 1,021.41 1,011.50 1,018.40 3 -- 3 -0.65
Quarterly 12/1/17 265.77 267.61 264.80 264.90 3 1 1 -0.50
Quarterly 3/1/18 267.42 267.50 267.34 267.42 2 -- 1 -0.85
Quarterly 6/1/18 281.50 284.80 278.19 281.50 2 -- 1 -0.32
Quarterly 9/1/18 272.29 274.00 270.58 272.29 2 2 -- 0.87

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 939.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 847.30 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 764.20 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 247.60 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 261.10 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 245.10 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 249.40 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 9.20
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 11.72 12.15 11.20 11.77 4 1 -- -2.84
Annual 12/1/18 10.99 11.32 10.40 11.03 8 5 1 -1.39
Annual 12/1/17 10.03 10.19 9.81 10.03 8 2 3 -0.42
Quarterly 12/1/17 2.67 2.73 2.54 2.69 8 4 1 0.42
Quarterly 3/1/18 2.61 2.72 2.48 2.61 6 1 1 -0.58
Quarterly 6/1/18 2.79 2.87 2.60 2.82 6 1 1 -0.96
Quarterly 9/1/18 2.64 2.70 2.55 2.66 6 1 1 -0.62

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 9.20 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 8.10 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 7.14 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 2.29 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 2.60 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 2.39 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 2.47 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 932.60
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 855.00 855.00 855.00 855.00 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 510.05 932.00 101.70 496.45 3 2 -- 11.79
Annual 12/1/17 927.76 949.00 906.51 927.76 2 2 -- 6.82
Quarterly 12/1/17 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 932.60 432.62 115.57
Annual 12/1/15 787.30 589.08 33.65
Annual 12/1/14 786.40 630.24 24.78
Quarterly 6/1/17 988.40 855.00 15.60

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 546.40
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 665.86 691.76 653.00 659.35 4 -- 2 -5.04
Annual 12/1/18 642.18 655.80 606.00 648.40 8 3 5 -1.70
Annual 12/1/17 591.64 594.80 586.00 592.50 8 2 5 -0.60
Quarterly 12/1/17 155.55 159.60 148.00 155.76 8 3 5 -0.84
Quarterly 3/1/18 151.26 154.89 145.00 151.60 6 1 3 -2.76
Quarterly 6/1/18 161.99 167.00 152.00 163.36 6 1 3 -2.36
Quarterly 9/1/18 156.15 161.50 148.00 156.66 6 2 2 -0.02

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 546.40 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 478.70 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 421.90 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 142.70 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 153.20 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 141.60 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 146.30 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/18 810.23 810.23 810.23 810.23 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/17 724.59 724.59 724.59 724.59 1 -- 1 0.54
Quarterly 12/1/17 72.46 72.46 72.46 72.46 1 -- 1 0.54
Quarterly 3/1/18 75.02 75.02 75.02 75.02 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 77.05 77.05 77.05 77.05 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 79.04 79.04 79.04 79.04 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 21.73
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/18 24.40 24.40 24.40 24.40 1 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 21.20 21.90 20.50 21.20 3 -- 2 -0.47

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 21.73 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 18.71 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 19.53 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 3,430.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 3,981.22 4,088.00 3,864.00 3,986.45 4 1 1 -2.12
Annual 12/1/18 3,814.82 3,879.00 3,703.00 3,829.00 9 7 2 0.59
Annual 12/1/17 3,652.01 3,667.77 3,635.00 3,650.60 9 7 1 0.52
Quarterly 12/1/17 939.60 955.47 923.00 936.65 8 5 2 0.66
Quarterly 3/1/18 929.00 947.00 900.60 933.00 7 4 -- -0.88
Quarterly 6/1/18 960.98 982.00 934.00 966.00 7 3 1 -0.86
Quarterly 9/1/18 940.61 957.97 918.00 943.30 7 3 2 0.48

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 3,430.00 3,424.43 0.16
Annual 12/1/15 3,352.80 3,388.27 -1.05
Annual 12/1/14 3,277.70 3,266.86 0.33
Quarterly 9/1/17 903.80 889.22 1.64
Quarterly 6/1/17 921.40 920.87 0.06
Quarterly 3/1/17 887.10 878.85 0.94
Quarterly 12/1/16 889.80 875.12 1.68

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/17 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Net Income (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/17 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/17 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Sales (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/17 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Sales (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --