Earnings Estimates

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 14.58 0.30 1.14
FY2/FY1 7.67 26.53 0.85
FY3/FY2 7.67 26.53 0.85

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 160.88
Price - 52 Week High: 185.47
Price - 52 Week Low: 140.83
Price Date (Latest): 2/20/18
Median Price Target: 192.43
Diff from Prev Close: 31.55
% Difference: 19.61

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

1.67

Sell

Strong Buy

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 13.87 31.97 0.43
FY1 12.89 22.40 0.58
FY2 12.58 34.57 0.36

Measures

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 10.12
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: 3.26
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 14.18
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 3.28
Yield (%): 2.03

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 12.79 12.79 12.79 12.79 1 -- 1 -0.86
Annual 12/1/19 12.49 13.01 12.15 12.48 8 3 -- 5.89
Annual 12/1/18 11.60 11.92 11.24 11.54 7 7 -- 4.75
Quarterly 3/1/18 2.73 2.85 2.65 2.73 7 5 1 4.03
Quarterly 6/1/18 2.98 3.03 2.87 3.01 7 6 -- 5.56
Quarterly 9/1/18 2.84 2.99 2.67 2.82 7 6 -- 5.79
Quarterly 12/1/18 3.04 3.21 2.69 3.08 7 5 1 4.55
Long Term Growth 15.00 15.00 15.00 15.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 10.12 10.08 0.42
Annual 12/1/16 9.20 9.14 0.62
Annual 12/1/15 8.10 8.05 0.62
Quarterly 12/1/17 2.69 2.66 1.32
Quarterly 9/1/17 2.45 2.42 1.19
Quarterly 6/1/17 2.60 2.55 1.96
Quarterly 3/1/17 2.39 2.36 1.46

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 51.82
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 68.13 68.13 68.13 68.13 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 59.37 59.37 59.37 59.37 1 -- 1 --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 51.82 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 45.10 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 41.55 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.95
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 4.01 4.11 3.90 4.01 2 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/18 3.74 4.72 3.12 3.39 3 1 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.85 0.88 0.82 0.85 2 -- 1 --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.94 1.05 0.82 0.94 2 -- 1 --
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.04 1.26 0.82 1.04 2 -- 1 --
Quarterly 12/1/18 1.23 1.52 0.93 1.23 2 1 -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 2.95 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 2.54 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 2.20 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 0.82 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 0.71 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 0.71 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 0.71 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 709.90
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 1,104.61 1,150.22 1,059.00 1,104.61 2 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/19 1,009.46 1,074.04 799.50 1,026.80 8 1 -- 2.04
Annual 12/1/18 938.64 1,006.39 737.80 961.10 7 2 4 -5.95
Quarterly 3/1/18 222.08 243.28 169.60 228.00 7 1 3 -6.42
Quarterly 6/1/18 240.32 254.14 196.50 248.00 7 2 1 -4.71
Quarterly 9/1/18 229.73 249.50 167.40 236.00 7 1 2 -5.92
Quarterly 12/1/18 246.38 265.90 204.30 256.10 7 2 2 -6.37

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 709.90 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 854.20 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 764.80 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 188.60 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 224.10 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 238.30 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 222.00 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 803.10
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 1,210.61 1,254.23 1,167.00 1,210.61 2 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/19 1,127.35 1,174.03 1,073.70 1,127.60 5 -- -- -1.58
Annual 12/1/18 1,035.07 1,061.20 992.70 1,051.30 3 1 3 -3.32
Quarterly 3/1/18 257.62 267.34 247.90 257.62 2 -- -- -1.28
Quarterly 6/1/18 277.75 278.19 277.30 277.75 2 -- -- -0.85
Quarterly 9/1/18 260.39 270.58 250.20 260.39 2 -- -- -1.74
Quarterly 12/1/18 286.16 286.51 285.80 286.16 2 -- -- -1.10

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 803.10 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 939.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 847.30 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 212.40 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 247.60 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 261.10 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 245.10 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 9.52
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 12.90 12.90 12.90 12.90 1 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/19 12.33 12.54 11.96 12.40 6 2 -- 2.56
Annual 12/1/18 11.39 11.76 11.00 11.44 6 4 -- 2.62
Quarterly 3/1/18 2.71 2.75 2.65 2.72 5 3 -- 2.36
Quarterly 6/1/18 2.93 3.03 2.83 2.92 5 3 -- 3.68
Quarterly 9/1/18 2.77 2.90 2.67 2.79 5 3 -- 2.60
Quarterly 12/1/18 3.05 3.12 2.94 3.07 5 3 -- 4.85

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 9.52 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 9.20 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 8.10 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 2.24 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 2.29 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 2.60 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 2.39 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 1,094.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 890.00 890.00 890.00 890.00 1 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/18 513.28 932.00 111.40 496.45 3 1 -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 1,094.80 927.76 18.01
Annual 12/1/16 932.60 432.62 115.57
Annual 12/1/15 787.30 589.08 33.65
Quarterly 12/1/17 1,094.80 0.90 121,544.44
Quarterly 6/1/17 988.40 855.00 15.60

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 593.10
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 707.94 745.87 670.00 707.94 2 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/19 712.53 754.90 655.00 715.35 8 2 -- 4.41
Annual 12/1/18 666.78 691.30 643.53 669.60 7 6 -- 2.67
Quarterly 3/1/18 157.07 160.00 154.89 156.00 7 4 -- 2.53
Quarterly 6/1/18 171.20 177.80 163.02 173.00 7 4 -- 4.02
Quarterly 9/1/18 163.33 173.60 156.80 163.60 7 4 -- 3.07
Quarterly 12/1/18 175.20 186.10 157.00 178.30 7 3 1 2.39

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 593.10 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 546.40 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 478.70 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 155.60 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 142.70 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 153.20 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 141.60 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/18 810.23 810.23 810.23 810.23 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 75.02 75.02 75.02 75.02 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 77.05 77.05 77.05 77.05 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 79.04 79.04 79.04 79.04 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 81.02 81.02 81.02 81.02 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 21.29
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/18 23.10 23.10 23.10 23.10 1 -- 1 --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 21.29 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 21.73 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 18.71 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 3,686.90
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 4,267.03 4,321.00 4,213.06 4,267.03 2 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/19 3,994.64 4,096.00 3,848.00 4,011.00 8 2 -- 0.07
Annual 12/1/18 3,836.78 3,894.00 3,737.00 3,855.15 8 7 -- 0.45
Quarterly 3/1/18 927.15 949.00 900.60 932.60 7 2 2 -0.22
Quarterly 6/1/18 961.94 990.40 934.00 957.90 7 2 1 -0.03
Quarterly 9/1/18 939.67 957.97 921.00 940.00 7 2 2 -0.15
Quarterly 12/1/18 1,005.31 1,034.20 980.00 999.60 7 5 -- 2.27

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 3,686.90 3,652.79 0.93
Annual 12/1/16 3,430.00 3,424.43 0.16
Annual 12/1/15 3,352.80 3,388.27 -1.05
Quarterly 12/1/17 974.60 940.50 3.63
Quarterly 9/1/17 903.80 889.22 1.64
Quarterly 6/1/17 921.40 920.87 0.06
Quarterly 3/1/17 887.10 878.85 0.94

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Net Income (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Sales (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Sales (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --