Earnings Estimates

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 16.75 -0.43 1.17
FY2/FY1 6.85 21.33 0.88
FY3/FY2 6.85 21.33 0.88

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 149.94
Price - 52 Week High: 189.46
Price - 52 Week Low: 141.63
Price Date (Latest): 12/14/18
Median Price Target: 181.00
Diff from Prev Close: 31.06
% Difference: 20.71

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2

Sell

Strong Buy

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 12.69 33.64 0.38
FY1 11.88 25.93 0.46
FY2 11.36 21.60 0.53

Measures

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 10.12
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: 3.26
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 14.09
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 3.62
Yield (%): 2.18

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 13.20 13.20 13.20 13.20 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 12.62 12.85 12.40 12.61 8 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/18 11.81 11.90 11.73 11.81 7 -- 1 --
Quarterly 12/1/18 3.03 3.06 3.02 3.03 6 -- 1 --
Quarterly 3/1/19 3.03 3.08 2.96 3.03 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 3.29 3.39 3.21 3.27 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 3.01 3.17 2.94 2.97 6 -- -- --
Long Term Growth 15.00 15.00 15.00 15.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 10.12 10.08 0.42
Annual 12/1/16 9.20 9.14 0.62
Annual 12/1/15 8.10 8.05 0.62
Quarterly 9/1/18 2.88 2.86 0.75
Quarterly 6/1/18 3.11 2.95 5.56
Quarterly 3/1/18 2.79 2.72 2.72
Quarterly 12/1/17 2.69 2.66 1.32

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 51.82
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 69.07 69.07 69.07 69.07 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 61.24 61.24 61.24 61.24 1 1 -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 51.82 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 45.10 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 41.55 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.95
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 4.49 4.49 4.49 4.49 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 3.88 3.90 3.85 3.88 2 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/18 3.48 3.57 3.39 3.48 2 1 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 2.95 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 2.54 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 2.20 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.82 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.82 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.82 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 0.82 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 709.90
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 1,055.50 1,058.00 1,053.00 1,055.50 2 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/19 980.16 1,040.00 760.00 1,017.29 7 -- 2 -0.32
Annual 12/1/18 928.41 970.70 743.00 962.95 6 -- 1 -0.01
Quarterly 12/1/18 247.59 252.90 243.30 246.00 5 -- 1 -0.04
Quarterly 3/1/19 244.75 249.00 239.10 245.00 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 264.73 274.00 258.90 264.14 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 243.35 249.10 240.00 243.06 5 -- -- --

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 709.90 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 854.20 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 764.80 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 232.40 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 250.90 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 234.60 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 188.60 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 803.10
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 1,163.00 1,163.00 1,163.00 1,163.00 1 -- 1 -0.34
Annual 12/1/19 1,114.90 1,137.00 1,091.10 1,116.60 3 -- 2 -0.65
Annual 12/1/18 1,061.07 1,065.70 1,056.30 1,061.20 3 -- 1 -0.02
Quarterly 12/1/18 269.65 272.10 267.20 269.65 2 -- 1 -0.09
Quarterly 3/1/19 266.95 269.80 264.10 266.95 2 -- -- -1.07
Quarterly 6/1/19 286.65 289.40 283.90 286.65 2 -- -- -0.96
Quarterly 9/1/19 271.40 273.20 269.60 271.40 2 -- -- -0.66

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 803.10 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 939.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 847.30 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 238.60 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 274.90 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 258.60 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 212.40 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 9.52
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 13.20 13.20 13.20 13.20 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 12.60 12.84 12.40 12.55 5 1 -- 0.96
Annual 12/1/18 11.83 11.90 11.80 11.81 4 -- 3 1.18
Quarterly 12/1/18 3.03 3.06 3.02 3.02 4 -- 1 -0.08
Quarterly 3/1/19 3.02 3.08 2.96 3.02 4 -- -- 0.69
Quarterly 6/1/19 3.27 3.35 3.21 3.25 4 -- -- 0.87
Quarterly 9/1/19 3.03 3.17 2.94 3.00 4 -- -- 1.57

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 9.52 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 9.20 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 8.10 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 2.85 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 3.12 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 2.82 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 2.24 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 1,094.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 467.00 467.00 467.00 467.00 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 783.00 987.00 656.00 706.00 3 -- 2 -17.24
Annual 12/1/18 889.80 916.00 863.60 889.80 2 -- 1 --
Quarterly 12/1/18 863.60 863.60 863.60 863.60 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 1,094.80 927.76 18.01
Annual 12/1/16 932.60 432.62 115.57
Annual 12/1/15 787.30 589.08 33.65
Quarterly 12/1/17 1,094.80 0.90 121,544.44

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 593.10
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 742.00 749.00 735.00 742.00 2 -- 1 -0.40
Annual 12/1/19 710.41 732.50 693.00 707.00 7 1 1 0.04
Annual 12/1/18 677.80 679.20 675.60 678.00 5 1 -- 0.05
Quarterly 12/1/18 173.00 174.50 170.70 173.00 5 -- 1 -0.05
Quarterly 3/1/19 172.74 178.00 168.40 172.40 5 -- -- -0.05
Quarterly 6/1/19 185.20 188.10 183.00 185.90 5 -- -- 0.09
Quarterly 9/1/19 171.76 175.10 167.00 174.50 5 -- -- 0.40

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 593.10 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 546.40 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 478.70 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 165.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 178.20 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 161.50 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 155.60 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/18 810.23 810.23 810.23 810.23 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 81.02 81.02 81.02 81.02 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 21.29
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 21.90 21.90 21.90 21.90 1 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/18 21.77 22.40 21.40 21.50 3 2 1 -0.46

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 21.29 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 21.73 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 18.71 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 3,686.90
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 4,002.00 4,024.00 3,980.00 4,002.00 2 -- 1 -0.54
Annual 12/1/19 3,902.46 3,996.00 3,846.00 3,882.79 8 -- 2 -0.06
Annual 12/1/18 3,767.66 3,807.10 3,733.00 3,766.89 7 -- 6 -0.96
Quarterly 12/1/18 976.75 997.40 945.00 981.10 6 1 -- 0.01
Quarterly 3/1/19 962.11 984.00 953.00 957.75 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 986.67 1,008.00 978.00 983.60 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 943.14 961.10 928.71 938.90 6 -- -- --

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 3,686.90 3,652.79 0.93
Annual 12/1/16 3,430.00 3,424.43 0.16
Annual 12/1/15 3,352.80 3,388.27 -1.05
Quarterly 9/1/18 898.10 928.73 -3.30
Quarterly 6/1/18 954.60 952.16 0.26
Quarterly 3/1/18 935.50 926.79 0.94
Quarterly 12/1/17 974.60 940.50 3.63

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Net Income (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Sales (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Sales (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --